Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Dominic Smith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	3.7	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+2.6	+3.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	1.3	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Dominic Smith	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brice Turang	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	2.0	0.9	1.1	75	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ramon Laureano	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	2.0	1.2	0.9	74	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Yorke	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.0	1.0	0.8	70	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	1.7	0.8	0.8	68	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luke Keaschall	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan India ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Riley Greene	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ramon Laureano	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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