Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1385

MLB

Top Over

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Curtis Mead

H • -1.5 • 95

Top Fade

Luis Rengifo

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Curtis Mead

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Francisco Lindor	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.0	1.1	1.5	95	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	COL @ SD	H	0.0	1.1	1.5	95	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.0	1.0	1.5	92	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	2.7	1.3	1.5	91	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.0	0.8	1.5	87	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	1.3	1.5	80	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ty France	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ TB	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Masyn Winn	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TB	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	AZ @ PIT	H	2.0	1.0	1.2	70	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	2.3	1.9	0.7	69	OVER	+0.4	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ty France	3/3	COL @ SD	H	2.0	1.6	0.5	68	OVER	+0.4	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	1.0	0.7	0.5	68	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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