Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1095

MLB

Top Over

Rafael Devers

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.3 • 88

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.6 • 24

Top 1

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.4

Top 4

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	2.3	1.1	0.9	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	2.7	1.7	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.0	1.1	1.3	88	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	2.3	1.0	1.3	86	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	2.7	1.9	1.3	74	OVER	+0.8	+1.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.5	71	OVER	+0.5	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.0	0.8	1.0	71	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	1.0	0.7	0.5	68	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dylan Crews	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.0	0.5	1.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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