Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 7 – Aug 13 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

787

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Chourio

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Denzer Guzman

RBI • -0.7 • 21

Top 1

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Trent Grisham

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	3.3	1.4	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Trent Grisham	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Trent Grisham	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	PHI @ MIN	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ WSH	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	SEA @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.3	1.1	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.8	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	PHI @ MIN	H	2.0	1.8	0.7	57	OVER	+0.2	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SEA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Luke Keaschall	3/3	PHI @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	PHI @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Trevor Larnach	3/3	PHI @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	PHI @ MIN	H	0.3	0.8	1.3	53	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ MIN	H	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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