Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 8 – Aug 14 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

30.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Dillon Dingler

H • -1.1 • 79

Top Fade

Jac Caglianone

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Rafael Flores Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

Ketel Marte

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alex Bregman	3/3	STL @ CHC	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Alex Bregman	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Rafael Flores Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ PIT	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.8	93	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ ATL	H	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	SD @ CLE	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mike Trout	3/3	KC @ LAA	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ DET	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ CLE	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TOR	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CWS @ DET	H	0.0	1.0	1.1	79	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	H	2.7	1.9	1.1	78	OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.0	1.1	0.8	72	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ TB	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	AZ @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	BOS @ PIT	H	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ PIT	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	SD @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carlos Cortes	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	SD @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ SF	H	0.3	1.6	0.9	61	UNDER	-1.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	MIA @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	MIA @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Denzer Guzman	3/3	KC @ LAA	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Benge	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	MIA @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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