Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

18.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1050

MLB

Top Over

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ozzie Albies

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Bryson Stott

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	1.3	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Cody Bellinger	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	2.7	1.7	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cal Raleigh ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	1.4	0.7	77	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.0	1.4	0.7	77	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mark Vientos	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Riley Greene	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	2.3	1.7	1.1	66	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cal Raleigh ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	0.0	0.7	1.1	63	UNDER	-0.7	-1.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	1.1	61	UNDER	-0.6	-1.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ DET	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Young	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Walker	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	2.0	1.7	0.7	59	OVER	+0.3	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ TB	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Eli White	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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